EXCLUSIVE POLL: Trump lead grows in Georgia

New 11Alive presidential poll released

ATLANTA - With days until election day, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is slated to win Georgia's 16 electoral votes, according to a new SurveyUSA poll conducted for 11Alive.  Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton trails behind.

The survey shows Trump with 49 percent of the vote in the state; Clinton has 42 percent and Libertarian Gary Johnson has three percent. Six percent of voters surveyed are undecided. Trump's 7-point lead is up from 4 points in our last poll in August.

Photos | Exclusive 11Alive poll results

It's important to note this poll was taken before the revelation by the FBI Director that he's looking in to new e-mails possibly related to Clinton's use of a personal server as Secretary of State.

Photos | The many faces of Donald Trump

Presidential Race Breakdown

Trump leads in with rural women and men, voters focused on immigration, evangelical voters, seniors and white voters.

Clinton leads with women, taking a 21-point edge among just suburban women and a four-point lead statewide. However, Clinton's four-point lead with women is overcome by Trump's 21-point advantage among men statewide. 

Voting "FOR a candidate" or voting "AGAINST a candidate"

The survey asked voters if they were voting for a candidate or against another. In Georgia, more voters are voting against Clinton than are voting against Trump.

52% of Trump backers are voting "for Trump," 46% are voting "against Clinton," a material change from August.
 
63% of Clinton backers are voting "for Clinton," 33% are voting "against Trump," a slight change from August.

Photos | The many faces of Hillary Clinton

More notes:

* 62% of voters (87% of Republicans, 28% of Democrats) say Clinton's leaked emails are important in 2016. 
 
* 47% of voters (14% of Republicans, 88% of Democrats) say Trump's income taxes are important in 2016. 
 
* 46% of voters (15% of Republican, 85% of Democrats) say Trump's history with women is important in 2016. 
 
* 43% of voters (22% of Republicans, 73% of Democrats) say Trump talk about not accepting an election outcome is important. 
 
* 27% of voters (42% of Republicans, 12% of Democrats) say Bill Clinton's history with women is important in 2016.
 

 
 
Survey notes:
SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of GA adults 10/25/16 through 10/27/16. Of the adults interviewed, 683 were registered to vote in Georgia. Of the registered voters, 5% say they "almost always" vote in Presidential elections but will not vote in 2016 because they do not like any of the candidates on the ballot. An offsetting 5% say they "almost never" vote in Presidential elections but will vote in 2016 because they are uniquely drawn to one of the candidates. These so-called "new" voters split; they do not disproportionately favor Trump. Of the registered voters, 593 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already returned a ballot or to be likely to do so before polls close on 11/08/16. 
 
This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (64% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (36% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Georgia last voted for a Democrat for President in 1992, when Bill Clinton captured the state's then 13 electoral votes by 1 percentage point over George H. W. Bush. In 2012, Mitt Romney carried Georgia by 8 points. In 2008, John McCain carried Georgia by 7 points. George W. Bush carried Georgia by 17 points in 2004 and by 12 points in 2000.
 

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(© 2016 WXIA)


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