Poll: Georgia Republicans headed to November sweep

Georgia's Republicans could be headed for a sweep of the top six races on the November ballot.

That's according to a SurveyUSA election poll of 560 likely voters.

The poll was commissioned by our Atlanta sister station WXIA.

It shows that Gov. Nathan Deal leads challenger Jason Carter by 9 points, and U.S. Senate candidate David Perdue holds the same lead over Michelle Nunn.

The poll's margin of error is 4.2 points.

But Libertarian candidates could force January runoffs in the Senate and governor's races, as the Republicans' support hovers at around 50 percent.

Election Day is Nov. 4.

The race-by-race results:

GOVERNOR: If the election were held today, the poll said, Deal would get 48 percent of the vote, Carter 39 percent and Libertarian Andrew Hunt 8 percent.

SurveyUSA"s analysis: "In an election today for Governor, incumbent Republican Nathan Deal defeats Democratic challenger Jason Carter 48% to 39%. (Jason is the grandson of former President Jimmy Carter.) Libertarian Andrew Hunt gets 4% today. 8% are undecided. Deal holds 83% of the Republican base. Carter holds 82% of the Democratic base. Independents break sharply Republican. Moderates provide some but not presently enough support for Carter to catch Deal. Libertarian Hunt takes more votes from the Republican Deal than he does from the Democrat Carter."

U.S. SENATE: Perdue (50 percent) and Nunn (41 percent) are running for the open seat being vacated by Saxby Chambliss. Libertarian Amanda Swafford drew 3 percent.

SurveyUSA"s analysis: "In an election today for US Senator, to fill an open seat vacated by Saxby Chambliss, Republican David Perdue defeats Democrat Michelle Nunn 50% to 41%. (Michelle is Sam Nunn's daughter.) Libertarian Amanda Swafford gets 3% today. 6% are undecided. Perdue's lead comes entirely from men, where he leads by 19 points. Atlanta votes Democratic. Northwest GA votes 2:1 Republican. South and East GA votes 5:4 Republican. The contest has national ramifications; Republicans need to hold the seat to have a chance to capture control of the U.S. Senate in the next Congress."

LT. GOVERNOR: Incumbent Casey Cagle would defeat Democrat Connie Stokes, 52 percent to 36 percent.

SECRETARY OF STATE: Incumbent Brian Kemp would defeat Doreen Carter, 53 percent to 36 percent .

ATTORNEY GENERAL: Incumbent Sam Olens leads challenger Greg Hecht, 49 percent to 36 percent.

SCHOOL SUPERINTENDENT: Richard Woods would defeat Valarie Wilson 51 percent to 39 percent.

Deal, Perdue, Cagle, Kemp, Olens and Woods are all Republicans.

The poll also said Georgians were largely confused by the debate over Common Core educational standards. It says 24 percent support Common Core, 34 percent were opposed and 42 percent didn't know enough to say.


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